Business confidence slipped over the past month as firms wrestled with stubborn inflationary and cost pressures, with the Middle East war now into its fifth month, according to a survey published today.
The index of sentiment among private-sector companies compiled by Lloyds Bank’s Business Barometer fell by 3 points to 44 per cent in June, leaving it below the 12-month average of 47 per cent. Economic optimism also dropped, down 4 points to 31 per cent.
The lender said businesses were most worried about the rising cost of production, a concern likely tied to the higher energy prices triggered by the Gulf conflict. Over the weekend the United States and Iran traded strikes, each accusing the other of breaching the terms of the ceasefire agreement.
The decline in confidence was most pronounced among manufacturers, where optimism tumbled by 10 points to 33 per cent, a reflection of the sector’s heavy energy use. The reading among retailers fell by 8 points to 45 per cent. Energy costs have remained the single biggest brake on SME growth for much of the past year, with smaller firms warning they have no price-cap protection of the kind afforded to households.
Although inflationary worries persist, oil prices have eased sharply in recent weeks. The price of a barrel of Brent crude, the international benchmark, has fallen back below the levels seen before the conflict broke out at the end of February.
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