A third runway at Heathrow would move 15,200 aviation jobs that would otherwise accrue in the UK regions to the airport by 2050, according to New Economics Foundation analysis of Department for Transport modelling published last month.
The NEF analysis of the DfT economic paper also found that 6,400 jobs at other London and south-east airports would go to Heathrow instead.
Birmingham airport is set to lose 7.5 million passengers a year by 2050 under the DfT forecasts, a decrease economists put at about 9,500 jobs foregone at the airport and in its supply chain. That accounts for almost 10,000 of the West Midlands total.
The paper was published alongside the government’s consultation on the Heathrow expansion national policy statement, which MPs must approve before the runway can be built.
DfT modelling published with the consultation puts the overall GDP impact of expansion at up to 0.05 per cent a year. Rachel Reeves, the previous chancellor, had championed the scheme on growth grounds.
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